Futurecast: 2024’s Pivotal Elections in Europe and Beyond
2024 is a crucial year for elections in Europe. Voting for the European Parliament (EP) in June will shape the EU's political direction over the next five years and, therefore, constitute a defining moment. Several national elections also mark a year of change for Europe. This page curates GMF analysis on some of the races and their impact on Europe and beyond. In a dedicated series, GMF experts also discuss the effects of the EP election on key policies, consider what can—and should—be done before the vote, and outline potential post-election scenarios.
EU Elections Results Analysis
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![French President Macron walking with his hand over his mouth in frustration](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-06/shutterstock_2142921871_0.jpg.webp?itok=7mIwArEW)
June 10, 2024
The European Parliament election on June 6-9 saw overall gains for right-of-center parties without a feared surge toward the far right. Across...
3m read
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![German Chancellor Olaf Scholtz sitting with his hand resting on his face](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-06/shutterstock_1234410703_0.jpg.webp?itok=8OGg_Qmw)
June 11, 2024
The European Parliament election on June 6-9 saw overall gains for right-of-center parties without a feared surge toward the far right. Across...
3m read
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![Urusla Van der Leyen standing with a European Commission sign behind her](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-06/shutterstock_1578970219.jpg.webp?itok=mx0CFE9U)
June 11, 2024
The new European Parliament is set to shift to the right, yet a mainstream coalition may still secure a second term for European Commission President...
4m read
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![Pedro Sanchez, Spain's prime minister and leader PSOE and Alberto Nunez Feijoo, leader of the People's Party standing on the stage at a debate](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-06/shutterstock_2329738279.jpg.webp?itok=mnZmu40_)
June 12, 2024
The European Parliament election on June 6-9 saw overall gains for right-of-center parties without a feared surge toward the far right. Across...
3m read
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![French election poster on a metal barrier](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-06/shutterstock_2468339201.jpg.webp?itok=9jme15jh)
June 12, 2024
The impact of the European Parliament’s rightward shift will depend on the extent to which the far right can unify as well as on the willingness of...
4m read
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![Political billboard advertising Viktor Orban's campaign](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-06/shutterstock_2135045991_0.jpg.webp?itok=yq7h731C)
June 13, 2024
Daniel Hegedüs looks at Hungary, where a reshuffle of the party landscape poses no threat to the stability of Viktor Orbán’s regime....
6m read
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![Polish PM Donald Tusk sitting in front of the Polish and EU flags](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-06/shutterstock_276294563.jpg.webp?itok=FS63ma7F)
June 13, 2024
Anna Wójcik looks at Poland, where the once all-powerful Law and Justice party lost its first election in a decade....
5m read
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![Czech poling place](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-06/shutterstock_2473240335.jpg.webp?itok=EFnDc9N3)
June 13, 2024
Jana Juzová looks at Czechia, where populists were the clear winners....
4m read
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Jana Juzová
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![Slovakian Progressive leader Ľudovít Ódor speaking at a podium](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-06/shutterstock_2363881263.jpg.webp?itok=7sO-W-fY)
June 13, 2024
Adam Hsakou looks at Slovakia, where more than half of voters cast their ballots in favour of eurosceptics....
4m read
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![Romanian Parliament building with lights of the flag colors projected onto it](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-06/shutterstock_2100515989.jpg.webp?itok=Fa1Dtktj)
June 13, 2024
Clara Volintiru looks at Romania, where the year’s election cycle is only just beginning....
5m read
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![People waving Bulgarian flags under a statue of a lion](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-06/shutterstock_1984449239.jpg.webp?itok=DtAmTsBS)
June 14, 2024
Dimitar Keranov looks at Bulgaria, where the European Parliament vote played second fiddle to yet another inconclusive national election....
4m read
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EU Elections Series
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![EU flags in front of European Commission in Brussels](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-05/shutterstock_203155351.jpg.webp?itok=L3hzk-hE)
Dormant for the past decade, EU enlargement has regained strategic importance since Russia invaded Ukraine. ...
5m read
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![Gavel on a table with an EU flag behind it](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-05/shutterstock_1906868911.jpg.webp?itok=rk2RKcnl)
May 21, 2024
Given the likely strengthening of the radical right in the European Parliament elections and the fact that three governments with domestic illiberal...
6m read
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![Green Transition](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-04/AdobeStock_639801017.jpeg.webp?itok=WaPqqOox)
April 16, 2024
The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the EU's political direction over the next five years and, therefore, constitute a defining...
6m read
by
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![campaign sign for right win German political party Alternative for Germany](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-03/shutterstock_1400998292.jpg.webp?itok=37h68bbX)
March 28, 2024
The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the political direction of the EU over the next five years and, therefore, constitute a defining...
5m read
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![close up of passport page with immigration stamp](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-03/shutterstock_645219262.jpg.webp?itok=d3PKyoCm)
March 6, 2024
Immigration is once again at the top of many European voters’ agenda in this parliamentary election year. EU policymakers are racing to reform asylum...
5m read
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![EU Ukraine](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-02/shutterstock_2152496681.jpg.webp?itok=fWwM8C-J)
February 20, 2024
The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the political direction of the EU over the next five years and, therefore, constitute a defining...
5m read
by
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![EU Flag and pollution](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-02/shutterstock_2247168405.jpg.webp?itok=EaLzRbgK)
February 7, 2024
The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the political direction of the EU over the next five years and, therefore, constitute a defining...
5m read
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![Global Trade](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-01/GettyImages-1156616263.jpg.webp?itok=efaLAKb2)
January 29, 2024
The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the EU's political direction over the next five years and, therefore, constitute a defining...
5m read
by
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![Chinese and EU Flag](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-01/shutterstock_1823457617.jpg.webp?itok=IK3QKRZw)
December 14, 2023
EU Election Series: The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the EU's political direction over the next five years and, therefore,...
7m read
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![NATO soldiers NATO soldiers with image of two soldiers from two different countries.](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2023-12/shutterstock_2158104753.jpg.webp?itok=VdTyio07)
December 7, 2023
EU Election Series: The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the EU's political direction over the next five years and, therefore,...
5m read
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![EU Elections](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2023-12/shutterstock_1399649537.jpg.webp?itok=1sXSZWF3)
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![Row of EU flags](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-04/shutterstock_162128453.jpg.webp?itok=CM1tg85i)
April 23, 2024
2m read
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![Bus shelter with a large Slovakian election billboard on the wall behind it](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-04/shutterstock_2430932227.jpg.webp?itok=xQmn9Nh9)
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![Skyline of Zagreb Croatia](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-04/shutterstock_421888582.jpg.webp?itok=f4osyZHB)
April 5, 2024
The long-governing Croatian Democratic Union and the opposition president are heading for a clash in early parliamentary elections, whose outcome...
5m read
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![Turkey election rally, crowd waving Turkish flag, 2023](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-04/shutterstock_2240017925.jpg.webp?itok=S38Y9Buy)
April 5, 2024
Türkiye's political landscape is undergoing a transformation, and the results of last weekend’s local elections could herald significant shifts in the...
5m read
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![ISTANBUL, TURKEY - DECEMBER 14, 2022: Thousands gathered in front of Istanbul's municipal building to denounce the court's verdict against the popular mayor Ekrem İmamoglu](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-04/shutterstock_2238131287.jpg.webp?itok=0S9J5N8L)
April 2, 2024
Less than one year ago the Turkish opposition alliance lost presidential and parliamentary elections and subsequently collapsed. ...
4m read
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![ISTANBUL, TURKEY - MARCH 30 : People voted for local election on March 30, 2014](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-03/shutterstock_271760657.jpg.webp?itok=cPgXP9A8)
March 21, 2024
Türkiye is gearing up for the local elections on March 31, a year after President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan won reelection and secured a parliamentary...
2m read
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![Instanbul skyline with sunset behind it](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-03/shutterstock_126662546.jpg.webp?itok=3PdCzjkm)
March 14, 2024
To safeguard Türkiye's democratic resilience, concerted efforts are needed. These efforts should prioritize upholding press freedom, promoting...
5m read
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![Transatlantic Trends 2023 Transatlantic Trends 2023](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2023-09/TT%202023.png.webp?itok=y7KCg4OD)
September 12, 2023
Transatlantic Trends 2023 presents the results of representative surveys conducted in 14 countries on both sides of the Atlantic: Canada, France,...
59m read
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![Ukraine and EU Flags](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2023-12/shutterstock_2198015219.jpg.webp?itok=xCeh6jJr)
December 15, 2023
EU leaders start down a long road to Ukraine....
2m read
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![Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban in front of Ukrainian and EU Flags Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban in front of Ukrainian and EU Flags](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2023-12/shutterstock_2216056857.jpg.webp?itok=kakbESob)
December 13, 2023
A successful and democratic Ukraine is an existential threat to the autocratic regime in Hungary, which is playing a long game rather than seeking...
8m read
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![EU and AI regulation EU Flag and Chat GPT app](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2023-12/shutterstock_2253539853_0.jpg.webp?itok=QGW_19bP)
December 13, 2023
2m read
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![Protest against corrupted government in Republic of Moldova. Young man wrapped in flag of Moldova at "tent town".](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2024-03/shutterstock_316215041.jpg.webp?itok=2yZ_KuGD)
March 21, 2024
When the leader of Transnistria last month called an extraordinary congress of deputies amid rising disputes with the Moldovan authorities,...
6m read
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