Press
Read the latest news and commentary from the German Marshall Fund.
For press inquiries, please contact us by email at [email protected].
Or contact the press officers directly:
Chris Schaefer, Press Officer, at +1 202 642 7727 or [email protected]
Angelina Sutalo, Senior Press Officer, at +32 486 514 479 or [email protected].
For press inquiries, please contact us by email at [email protected].
Or contact the press officers directly:
Chris Schaefer, Press Officer, at +1 202 642 7727 or [email protected]
Angelina Sutalo, Senior Press Officer, at +32 486 514 479 or [email protected].
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“ How forcefully mainland China’s military responds will depend in part on how Speaker Pelosi handles the visit. Will she do things publicly or privately?... Will there be some footage of her meeting with President Tsai? I think all of those will have some impact on how the Chinese react at this point. But I am confident that their reaction will be beyond what they did in 1996, firing missiles around the Taiwan Strait. ”
“ The probability that the PRC will take a series of military, economic, and diplomatic actions to show strength and resolve is not insignificant. Likely it will seek to punish Taiwan in myriad ways. The probability of war or a serious incident is low. ”
“ The officials fear that Biden’s attempts to repair a fractured system are temporary, like glue holding together a shattered vase... Other governments, including those that have turned toward their own populist authoritarian leaders like Hungary’s Orban, see a potential Trump return as a boon. They are — unwisely — gaming out our polarization and hope it will work for their side. It’s very, very risky.”
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![CBS News' Lana Zak dressed in blue on blue map background on left. in the right screen, Lindsay Gorman sits against a white background wearing a blazer](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2022-08/Screenshot%20%28903%29.png.webp?itok=oRT2f7AP)
“ They are — unwisely — gaming out our polarization and hope it will work for their side. It’s very, very risky. ”
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![Nancy Pelosi](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2022-08/shutterstock_1323288527.jpg.webp?itok=vxeupLBC)
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![two people counting ballots](/sites/default/files/styles/card_image/public/2022-08/39bfa412-9135-4f0a-8cea-25d7a95abad0.jpg.webp?itok=O7jXJVqU)