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Defense Cooperation

If the Americans came across as pushy and twisting Poland’s arm, then the Poles came across as unpredictable to the Americans. This is a scratch on this very shiny new Polish-US relationship, but I don’t necessarily think that it is going to be a very long or persistent scratch.”

Defense Cooperation Foreign Policy

China seems unwilling to take any steps beyond expressing the desire for peace, as it wants to avoid directly interfering with what Russia wants to do. I think the sense is still they would give Russia the space to do what it wants... China is not comfortable leaning on Russia, and I think they would question whether it would be successful.”

Defense Cooperation Foreign Policy

Putin is calculating right now, if this spills over into something more significant he may decide to use whatever weapon is at his disposal. If he feels that this is going beyond Ukraine into these other spaces, including with NATO and the United States, I think all bets are off the table.”

Defense Cooperation

China’s policy is based on Xi Jinping’s view of China’s interests, and he sees the United States as implacably hostile. He sees Russia as his only ally against the United States and the other democracies. … I don’t think China can in any way be neutral.”

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