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Foreign Policy

[PLA flights are] not flying over Taiwan. They're not even flying within Taiwan's territorial airspace, within 12 nautical miles of its shore.”

At the individual level of analysis, President Erdogan perceives a threat from the US thinking that it is intentionally undermining him with the ultimate goal of removing him from power. This frustration and threat perception leads President Erdogan to seek a counterbalancing alliance with Russia against the U.S.”

Elections

It’s possible that Kono could very well find himself a front runner in another LDP leadership race a year from now and under more favorable conditions.”

Elections

If challenges start to arise, we could see [Fumio Kishida's] approval ratings decrease very quickly because he is starting from a point of relatively modest support.”

Elections

Linder can’t afford to be intransigent after he refused to enter into a coalition in 2017 – this is his last chance. And as far as the Greens are concerned, they feel that the climate emergency leaves them no choice except to govern as part of a coalition.”

Technology and Democracy

Sharing information between the EU and U.S. is a necessary part of effectively stopping technology leakage. But this won’t happen quickly; there are too many legal and institutional jealousies. It’s a three-to-five-year project.”

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