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Read the latest news and commentary from the German Marshall Fund.
For press inquiries, please contact us by email at [email protected].
Or contact the press officer directly:
Angelina Sutalo, Senior Press Officer, at +32 486 514 479 or [email protected].
For press inquiries, please contact us by email at [email protected].
Or contact the press officer directly:
Angelina Sutalo, Senior Press Officer, at +32 486 514 479 or [email protected].
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“ Over the coming days and months, China will conduct provocative and escalatory exercises that may include [more] live missile fires in Taiwan’s air space. It may try to flip one of the 14 remaining countries that still recognize Taiwan diplomatically. And it will put more economic pressure on Taiwan. Beijing will assess the impact of its actions and warnings on the US and Taiwan. If they believe that the message hasn’t been heard and if they don’t see some restraint, I expect they will take more aggressive measures.”
“ Xi must show resolve. He has to shore up Chinese red lines and prevent further drift toward an unacceptable outcome — US support for Taiwan independence.”
“ There’s still jockeying for various personnel selections, and Xi Jinping cannot be seen as weak on an issue like Taiwan. ”
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“ I think the US government is right to be concerned about a mishap. We don’t know if Xi Jinping appreciates that there is a growing risk of miscalculation and, potentially, conflict. Let’s hope he is paying attention.”
“ I think the Chinese have to do more than they did in 1997 – Xi Jinping can’t be seen as weak on this. It’s a very dangerous moment. I think few people actually realize how dangerous this is.”
“ The United States and the world need clarity from the Biden administration on how it views US-Taiwanese relations , so that the president's off-the-cuff remarks don't inadvertently come to define policy.”
Translated from
French