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Defense Cooperation

If President Biden plans to defend Taiwan, then he should make sure the U.S. military has the capability to do so. Rhetorical support that isn't backed up by real capabilities is unlikely to strengthen deterrence.”

Defense Cooperation Foreign Policy

Though ostensibly a reaction to Pelosi’s visit, it is clear China’s exercises had been long planned. I do think they were looking for an opportunity to escalate. This is not something you prep after the announcement (of the visit) and then pull off that quickly and that easily.”

Defense Cooperation Foreign Policy

I doubt Xi's top concerns are related to foreign policy. As Xi is looking toward the Party Congress, I think he is most concerned about putting his own people on the Politburo Standing Committee and the Politburo. ”

Defense Cooperation Foreign Policy

I do not see any evidence that a decision has been made to use force against Taiwan. I see substantial evidence to the contrary: that China has not made a decision but that it has not ruled it out.”

Defense Cooperation Foreign Policy

It’s impossible to do an accurate assessment of how well the PLA performed in conducting joint operations. It’s not clear who was doing command and control … They rehearsed imposing a blockade and carrying out strikes on the island, but the exercises didn’t contain all the elements that would be needed to invade the island.”

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