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Defense Cooperation Foreign Policy

Separately, German Marshall Fund Indo-Pacific program managing director Bonnie Glaser said that Xi might be trying to drive a wedge between the US and the EU, particularly on the issue of Taiwan’s defense. However, it is also possible that Xi genuinely believes the US trying to lure China into a conflict, she said.”

Domestic Politics and Society Elections

The enormous youth movement that had buoyed the Greens to win one in five votes in Germany five years ago has been punctured by being part of the governing coalition. “The party can’t please the younger progressive voters who they want to welcome into the fold and, at the same time, appease moderate voters who are wealthier,” said Sudha David-Wilp, a regional director at the Berlin office of the German Marshall Fund.”

Democracy Elections

But discontent with the government, a strong base in East Germany (the AfD took the lead in all five states in the EU vote) and the recent attack on the official have likely propelled the AfD forward, David-Wilp said. "They are not going to disappear from the German political landscape anytime soon," she added.”

Translated from French
Democratic Decline Elections Global Implications of China's Rise Transatlantic Trends

“The EU’s approach to China will not see any big changes for now, after the elections, as the center parties will continue to become more realistic … [But] if Trump wins the U.S. election, the EU’s polarization on China policy is likely to grow,” said Gunnar Wiegand, a retired top EU diplomat on Asia, who’s now a fellow at the German Marshall Fund think tank.”

Democratic Decline Elections Transatlantic Relations

The results could add tensions to the U.S.-European bilateral relationship over time as European leaders face pressure to respond to the concerns of disaffected voters, said Kristine Berzina, who leads the German Marshall Fund of the United States’ GMF Geostrategy North program.”

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