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Defense Cooperation Foreign Policy

The United States and the world need clarity from the Biden administration on how it views US-Taiwanese relations , so that the president's off-the-cuff remarks don't inadvertently come to define policy.”

Translated from French
Foreign Policy

Both leaders should prevent that from happening. They should establish an action plan for discussion of risk reduction measures . . . Biden should bolster the credibility of the US ‘one China’ policy and the US position of not supporting Taiwan independence.”

Foreign Policy

There's a view in Beijing that it might be necessary to have a crisis to demonstrate China's seriousness on Taiwan issues to the United States.”

Trade, Economics, and Business

Brussels faces no political consequences from potentially rationing gas, but it can be deadly to a national government. Many member states have also diversified away from Russian gas, while Germany of course has not, and politically must pay a price.”

Foreign Policy

The PLA [People’s Liberation Army] would certainly not simply repeat what they did in 1995-96 by firing missiles near Taiwan. It is certainly possible that a PLA aircraft could ‘escort’ Pelosi’s plane and fly directly over Taiwan or at least into the territorial airspace. That would be unprecedented and dangerous. I think it is unlikely that they would shoot down the aircraft.”

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