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Elections

But with so many fires burning on the international stage and some structural geopolitical shifts underway, circumstances — and his more hawkish coalition partners — might force [Olaf Scholz]’s hand. ”

Domestic Politics and Society Elections

[Olaf Schultz] comes across as calm, measured, steady... The SPD leadership are mostly leftist leaning and initially didn't support him. So we don't know yet who he will gather around him and who will influence his leadership style.”

Elections

Germans prefer continuity, but if nothing changes it is understood that the country will lose its competitive advantage and ultimately its reputation as an economic powerhouse. This new three-way coalition is novel and aims to usher in transformation within Germany on many fronts whether it be weaning itself off coal by 2030 or investing in digital infrastructure.”

Elections Foreign Policy

The German position will get tougher on China for structural reasons. Mr. Scholz is no hawk. But he is not Merkel either and he will face pressure from the other parties in his government.”

Domestic Politics and Society Elections

This centrism is another trait [Olaf] Scholz shares with Merkel. She always governed from the center and I think he will also try to do that if he does become chancellor, but it will also depend of course on what coalition parties demand. ”

Elections Trade, Economics, and Business

Beijing has no interest in cutting ties overnight, but the gradual aim is to become less dependent on foreign countries while keeping them partly reliant on the Chinese market. Germany would be well served by recognizing that and acting accordingly.”

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