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Read the latest news and commentary from the German Marshall Fund.

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Chris Schaefer, Press Officer, at +1 202 642 7727 or [email protected]
Angelina Sutalo, Senior Press Officer, at +32 486 514 479 or [email protected].

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Disinformation

August 11, 2022

“ Compared with the last week of July, mentions of Taiwan in Chinese diplomats and state media’s tweets were up more than 500% and mentions of the PLA were up more than 200% in the first week of August.”

Politico

Etienne Soula

Defense Cooperation Foreign Policy

August 11, 2022

“ I believe that they think that if they just let this continue, that there will come a time in the very near future that they will have to use force. And I believe that, for lots of reasons, they’re not ready to do so.”

Washington Post

Bonnie S. Glaser

Defense Cooperation Foreign Policy

August 10, 2022

“ I do not see any evidence that a decision has been made to use force against Taiwan. I see substantial evidence to the contrary: that China has not made a decision but that it has not ruled it out.”

Grid

Bonnie S. Glaser

Defense Cooperation Foreign Policy

August 9, 2022

“ It’s impossible to do an accurate assessment of how well the PLA performed in conducting joint operations. It’s not clear who was doing command and control … They rehearsed imposing a blockade and carrying out strikes on the island, but the exercises didn’t contain all the elements that would be needed to invade the island.”

The Guardian

Bonnie S. Glaser

Disinformation

August 9, 2022

“ [Russian propaganda] used Pelosi's trip to paint the United States as an aggressive and reckless power and they framed China as a victim that was justified in safeguarding its interests.”

RFE/RL

Joseph Bodnar

Foreign Policy

August 7, 2022

“ Prospects are extremely low for holding talks on risk reduction measures or stability. The specific talks called off this week would resume over time, but right now, China has to signal toughness and resolve.”

Taipei Times

Bonnie S. Glaser

Defense Cooperation Foreign Policy

August 5, 2022

“ Over the coming days and months, China will conduct provocative and escalatory exercises that may include [more] live missile fires in Taiwan’s air space. It may try to flip one of the 14 remaining countries that still recognize Taiwan diplomatically. And it will put more economic pressure on Taiwan. Beijing will assess the impact of its actions and warnings on the US and Taiwan. If they believe that the message hasn’t been heard and if they don’t see some restraint, I expect they will take more aggressive measures.”

Breaking Defense

Bonnie S. Glaser

Foreign Policy

August 4, 2022

“ The Chinese feel that if they don’t act, that the United States is going to continue to slice the salami to take incremental actions toward supporting Taiwan independence. China does feel under pressure to do more to signal that this is an issue in which China cannot compromise.”

AP News

Bonnie S. Glaser

Colombo, Sri Lanka - April 10 2022: People protesting in the streets.

China Authoritarian Interference Trade, Economics, and Business

August 4, 2022

China’s Global South Messaging Hits a Snag in Sri Lanka

China Observers

Etienne Soula

Press

The Latest

A Scramble for Round 2

Debate Night: Trust in US Elections and the Peaceful Transition of Power

On The Edge

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“ Compared with the last week of July, mentions of Taiwan in Chinese diplomats and state media’s tweets were up more than 500% and mentions of the PLA were up more than 200% in the first week of August.”

“ I believe that they think that if they just let this continue, that there will come a time in the very near future that they will have to use force. And I believe that, for lots of reasons, they’re not ready to do so.”

“ I do not see any evidence that a decision has been made to use force against Taiwan. I see substantial evidence to the contrary: that China has not made a decision but that it has not ruled it out.”

“ [Russian propaganda] used Pelosi's trip to paint the United States as an aggressive and reckless power and they framed China as a victim that was justified in safeguarding its interests.”

“ Prospects are extremely low for holding talks on risk reduction measures or stability. The specific talks called off this week would resume over time, but right now, China has to signal toughness and resolve.”

“ The Chinese feel that if they don’t act, that the United States is going to continue to slice the salami to take incremental actions toward supporting Taiwan independence. China does feel under pressure to do more to signal that this is an issue in which China cannot compromise.”

China’s Global South Messaging Hits a Snag in Sri Lanka